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How Supreme Court ruling could shape future of Arizona voting maps

KYMA

YUMA, Ariz. (KYMA) - A recent U.S. Supreme Court decision could have long-term effects on how voting districts are drawn... including in Arizona.

The ruling focuses on Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act, a key part of the law that has helped protect minority voters for decades. It required mapmakers to consider whether communities of color had a fair opportunity to elect candidates of their choice.

Now, that protection has been narrowed, making it more difficult to challenge voting maps in court over claims of racial discrimination.

In Arizona, district lines aren’t drawn by lawmakers. Instead, an independent redistricting commission handles the process and only meets once every 10 years. The next time that commission is scheduled to reconvene is at the start of the next redistricting cycle, around 2030, after new census data is released.

Because of that, experts say any immediate changes are unlikely.

Still, the decision could open the door to legal challenges.

“There could be lawsuits,” said Sasha Hupka, a reporter with VoteBeat Arizona. “There are opportunities here for both Democrats and Republicans to pick up seats.”

Hupka says the impact could be especially important in areas like Congressional District 7, which stretches along Arizona’s southern border and includes parts of Yuma. The district was designed to group together Latino communities that share similar concerns and priorities, giving those voters a stronger voice in elections.

With fewer legal protections in place, future maps could be drawn differently, potentially splitting up those communities and making some districts more competitive.

At the state level, that could also affect legislative districts like LD 23, which covers much of Yuma. Hupka says changes there could shift the balance in closely contested races.

Even so, she says the biggest changes are likely still years away.

“The more likely scenario is that this will impact Arizona later in the decade,” Hupka said, when the commission meets again to redraw district lines.

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